In the winter of 2010, a number of reality TV shows in the UK were coming to a conclusion.
In particular, the UK edition of X Factor, which ran for 10 weeks and which had weekly evictions of contestants
based on a public vote. More information and the weekly results for the competition can be seen at the Wikipedia
article.
We analysed Twitter as a single data source, with at times up to 1 million tweets being analysed over a
single weekend. An example of the type of analysis can be seen in our
whitepaper, with further analysis and weekly predictions on our
blog.
Our analysis was successful in predicting the winner and also Rebecca Ferguson as finishing second (which
went against popular wisdom and the gambling odds at the time). However of more importance is the fact that we
could explain why the public voted the way that they did. For example, we could explain from our
analysis why Wagner stayed in as long as he did, why the contestants who were voted out were in fact voted out,
and why Rebecca did not win but finished second.
We also undertook analysis on the UK version of Strictly Come Dancing, and again successfully predicted the winner
although again more importantly we could explain the reasons why. We also used our process to analyse the
BBC Sports Personality of the Year and again successfully predicted the winner of the competition. All of this
analysis can be seen at our blog.